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Correia vs. Tigers

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Kevin Correia has gotten through 2 IP without allowing any Tiger runs so far.

Actually, Correai should be good for the Twins in Target Field this year. (Which is not to say that he will continue the string of scoreless innings vs. Detroit today.) He is a flyball pitcher, and flyballs don’t easily leave the yard at Target when hit power alley to power alley. And I shouldn’t have to explain this to Twins’ fans: Joe Mauer’s power in 2009 was (a) unsustainable in the long run, but (b) also focused towards left-center field, where, in the Metrodome, he hit a number of homers. Target Field has worked to further dampen Mauer’s diminished power; he’d probably be a 15-18 HR guy in, say, Arizona or Milwaukee or Texas.

Dead pull hitters, like, say, Josh Willingham can have success at Target, but over 70% of all the homeruns that make it out of the big-league ballparks are hit between left-center and right-center. So Target is net-beneficial to pitchers.

Anyway, Correia could be decent in Minneapolis, but not great. He was above-average when with the Padres, back before they moved in the fences and Petco Park was the most extreme thing since Griffith Stadium.

UPDATE: And now the Tigers have struck in the 3rd inning. I still think he’ll be okay over the longer term.

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Written by jjvedamuthu

April 3, 2013 at 13:47

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